{"id":93939,"date":"2026-02-23T13:32:46","date_gmt":"2026-02-23T12:32:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/?p=93939"},"modified":"2026-04-10T19:01:45","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T17:01:45","slug":"ki-in-der-strategischen-vorausschau-rueckblick-vom-planungsamt-der-bundeswehr","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/ai-in-strategic-foresight-a-review-from-the-bundeswehr-planning-office\/","title":{"rendered":"AI in Strategic Foresight - A Review from the Bundeswehr Planning Office"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"93939\" class=\"elementor elementor-93939\" data-elementor-settings=\"{&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_width&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_width_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_width_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_padding&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;top&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;right&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;bottom&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;left&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;isLinked&quot;:true},&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_padding_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;top&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;right&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;bottom&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;left&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;isLinked&quot;:true},&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_padding_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;top&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;right&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;bottom&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;left&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;isLinked&quot;:true},&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_border_radius&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;top&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;right&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;bottom&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;left&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;isLinked&quot;:true},&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_border_radius_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;top&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;right&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;bottom&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;left&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;isLinked&quot;:true},&quot;element_pack_global_tooltip_border_radius_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;px&quot;,&quot;top&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;right&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;bottom&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;left&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;isLinked&quot;:true}}\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-295be4e e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"295be4e\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;jet_parallax_layout_list&quot;:[]}\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5479294 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5479294\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tHow is AI changing strategic foresight? And where must humans retain the upper hand? These questions were at the center of a two-day workshop hosted by the Bundeswehr Planning Office (Planungsamt der Bundeswehr) in mid-February, which brought together foresight practitioners from the armed forces, ministries, research institutes, and consulting firms. Lucas Buchauer and Andre Winzer attended on behalf of Schaltzeit - Lucas as a panelist on the topic of AI-assisted scenario construction, Andre as a participant and discussant.\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4a92cdf elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4a92cdf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The takeaway after two intense days? <strong>YES AND NO.<\/strong> AI accelerates foresight processes - but speed alone is not a quality criterion. The discussions made one thing clear: those who use AI need not less, but more methodological reflection. The danger is not that AI will replace analysts, but that it could flatten the depth of content - if we allow it to.<\/p><p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Three points that particularly concern us:<\/p><p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Responsibility must not become diffuse. <\/strong>When AI delivers the basis for decisions, it must still be clear who bears responsibility for strategic assessments. Red teaming approaches can help systematically challenge AI-supported results.<\/p><p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Digital sovereignty is not a luxury. <\/strong>Without autonomy in AI and language models, strategic dependencies emerge. Europe must catch up on the quality of its own models - and where external models are used, they must run in proprietary environments, without the ability to phone home.<\/p><p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Futures competencies must be taught. <\/strong>The new technological possibilities - from 3D scenarios to AI-generated future films - are enormous. But they require critical thinking, source literacy, and the awareness that visions of the future are constructed images, not forecasts.<\/p><p style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We have published the detailed workshop report together with the Advanced Foresight Group, including all results from six working groups, three panels, and a commentary by Andre Winzer.<\/p><p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>\u2192 <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/advanced-foresight.com\/wie-die-foresight-community-um-den-richtigen-ki-einsatz-ringt\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Read the full article on the Advanced Foresight Group blog<\/a><\/p><p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em>Schaltzeit supports organizations in integrating AI into foresight and strategy processes. Have questions or want to plan a workshop? <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/contact\/\">Get in touch.<\/a><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How is AI changing strategic foresight? And where must humans retain the upper hand? These questions were at the center of a two-day workshop hosted by the Bundeswehr Planning Office (Planungsamt der Bundeswehr) in mid-February, which brought together foresight practitioners from the armed forces, ministries, research institutes, and consulting firms. Lucas Buchauer and Andre Winzer attended on behalf of Schaltzeit - Lucas as a panelist on the topic of AI-assisted scenario construction, Andre as a participant and discussant.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":93941,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_mo_disable_npp":"","site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[300],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[307],"class_list":["post-93939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kuenstliche-intelligenz"],"acf":[],"authors":[{"term_id":307,"user_id":17,"is_guest":0,"slug":"andrewinzersz","display_name":"Andr\u00e9 Winzer","avatar_url":"http:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/cropped-Andre-w_1920px-96x96.jpg","0":null,"1":"","2":"","3":"","4":"","5":"","6":"","7":"","8":""}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93939","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=93939"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93939\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":93950,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/93939\/revisions\/93950"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/93941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=93939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=93939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=93939"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=93939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}