{"id":11952,"date":"2022-03-03T10:28:00","date_gmt":"2022-03-03T09:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/2019.schaltzeit.com\/?p=11952"},"modified":"2026-02-16T13:34:43","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T12:34:43","slug":"das-vorhersehbare-invasions-kriegs-dilemma","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/the-foreseeable-invasion-war-dilemma\/","title":{"rendered":"The foreseeable invasion war dilemma"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is war in Ukraine. A war that seems unpredictable \u2013 and yet was foreseeable. Despite our foresight skills, we closed our eyes. No one knows the deeper intentions of the lying aggressor Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"86e0\">Instead of thinking in scenarios and exploring our room for maneuver, we relied on the \u201cprinciple of hope\u201d: \u201cit won\u2019t escalate.\u201d Our dilemma: on the one hand, we want to de-escalate the situation, but any help we offer Ukraine will just as surely be interpreted by Putin as a provocation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"42c4\">Even we in Germany have been confronted with the fact that we are not prepared for war. Our equipment is outdated, compulsory military service has been abolished, and most people only take a first aid course for their driving test. There is no known clear crisis and emergency plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"192e\">The crux of the matter is our energy dependence \u2013 on top of that, we have sold off parts of our emergency infrastructure. A third of our gas storage facilities belong to the GAZPROM subsidiary Astora. An&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/de\/nationale-gasreserve-gibt-es-nicht\/a-60957803\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">article by Deutsche Welle<\/a>&nbsp;shows that gas storage facilities were systematically emptied to drive up gas prices. Through high gas bills, we are currently providing Russia with substantial financial support. Strictly speaking: Germany is financing this war! So the uncomfortable truth is also that we need greater resilience. At the same time, we must do much more to make megalomaniac aggressors such as Russia\u2019s Putin back down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"c661\">That also means finally addressing the uncomfortable issues. While in Russia&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/navalny\/status\/1498949159054942208\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Alexei Navalny, in 12 tweets,<\/a>&nbsp;calls for a protest for peace, we too should discuss our options for action and act decisively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"8d8b\">We must be aware that taking a clear position, with all its consequences, will cost us our own comfort zone. What does Europe have to offer? What do we stand for? What are we prepared to accept?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u201cEverything has a price, and now, in the spring of 2022, we must pay this price. There\u2019s no one to do it for us. Let\u2019s not \u2018be against the war.\u2019 Let\u2019s fight against the war.\u201d \u2013 Alexei Navalny<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"80d3\">And the aggressor Putin must be called by name. It is Putin\u2019s war. Many Russians have recognized that Putin is trying to distract from the country\u2019s real problems, creating a common enemy to bring about a deceptive unity \u2014 as a remedy for internal difficulties, disagreements, conflicts and unfinished business \u2014 the old and primitive tactic of using an external threat to numb the country\u2019s own internal difficulties, problems, crises and threats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ba5d\">Do we want to feed this image of the enemy? Do we want to play into Putin\u2019s hands and turn aggressively against Russia? What can we do to support the people of Ukraine and Russia? What has to happen to weaken Putin\u2019s support? What means do we have to end this war? What can we do so that the senselessness of this invasion is recognized and the killing of innocent people stops?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"d9a8\">What steps are we willing to take in society, business and politics \u2013 and on the small scale of our own daily comfort zones?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"3e11\">Will we become hosts who share, take people in and offer support? Will we make sure to celebrate and promote Russian culture as well as Ukrainian culture? Will we reflect on how we are economically and politically entangled in Putin\u2019s position?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"e3b4\">Will we make sure our infrastructure becomes more robust so that we are prepared for humanitarian disasters in other countries? Will we be willing to make sacrifices of our own for peace? Will we do more to strengthen the defense capabilities of Germany and Europe? Will we decouple ourselves from gas and diversify our energy production? Will we make sure that we always keep our eyes on the aggressors, not on Russians as a people?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"a5f0\">If we look at Kant\u2019s work \u201cPerpetual Peace\u201d (\u201cZum ewigen Frieden\u201d), he names the following points as the foundation for peace:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"b8ea\">1. \u201cNo treaty of peace shall be regarded as valid, if made with the secret reservation of material for a future war.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"0a62\">2. \u201cNo state having an independent existence \u2013 whether it be great or small \u2013 shall be acquired by another through inheritance, exchange, purchase or donation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"9312\">3. \u201cStanding armies (miles perpetuus) shall be abolished in course of time.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"c25c\">4. \u201cNo national debts shall be contracted in connection with the external affairs of the state.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"1717\">5. \u201cNo state shall violently interfere with the constitution and administration of another.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"d86b\">6. \u201cNo state at war with another shall countenance such modes of hostility as would make mutual confidence impossible in a subsequent state of peace: such are the employment of assassins (percussores) or of poisoners (venefici), breaches of capitulation, the instigation and making use of treachery (perduellio) in the hostile state, etc.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"6664\">If we apply \u201cPerpetual Peace\u201d to ourselves, we could interpret it like this: we cannot accept a peace that does not remove the cause of war and is based on blackmail. We Europeans should not create or foster dependencies. That also means weapons and defense equipment should be donated rather than pre-financed. Interfering in Russia itself by trying to overthrow Putin by underhanded means is not a sustainable solution. Let us trust in the internal momentum of the Russian population speaking out against the war (and Putin), in the power of diplomacy and in the values we stand for \u2014 it takes time, but its effect lasts longer!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"3ebb\">So what does this mean in practice for Germany and its citizens?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"5a0d\"><strong>You can:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"18cb\">1. Find out where donations in kind are being collected and which goods are accepted \u2013 and contribute them (sorted!)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"2684\">2. Use platforms to offer private accommodation, if possible<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"b871\">3. Develop your own position on different political and economic options for action (no-fly zone, arms deliveries, energy policy, \u2026)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"7d62\">4. Demonstrate, discuss and share (reliable) information<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"5cd1\">5. Prepare yourself better for emergencies (but please don\u2019t go panic buying!)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"a1a5\">6. Not lose hope, look after your own resilience and keep celebrating life<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"0374\"><strong>We\/society can:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"816b\">1. Be a host and a safe haven for all the people who have been forced to flee<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ddc0\">2. Never give up on diplomacy<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"3c17\">3. Seek to prevent violence and terror at all costs<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"af3c\">4. Turn off the money tap \u2014 even if it means radically restructuring our energy system<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"f3be\">5. Bear the costs of keeping the peace<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"5fb4\">6. Not give up on Russia and Ukraine and their citizens<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"1864\">7. Provide Russians with neutral information, promote independent journalism, show perspectives<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"a2b0\">Let us not become a nation of frightened neighbors who are horrified by the misery but do nothing to prevent it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"b983\">As a team, we discussed how we can get involved.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"899c\">It was clear that we wanted to support both the people who have fled Ukraine and humanitarian organizations in their work with cash donations and donations in kind. The causes closest to our hearts that we chose were:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"e4e9\"><strong>Doctors Without Borders:&nbsp;<\/strong>Supporting hospitals to provide training in emergency medicine and emergency surgical care; delivering medical supplies; ensuring medical care for the people \u2014&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aerzte-ohne-grenzen.de\/unsere-arbeit\/einsatzlaender\/ukraine\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.aerzte-ohne-grenzen.de\/unsere-arbeit\/einsatzlaender\/ukraine<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"9d53\"><strong>Save the Children:<\/strong>&nbsp;Helping in refugee camps in the border region and supporting arriving families as best they can; for example, children and their mothers receive toys, hygiene kits, diapers and face masks from them \u2014&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.savethechildren.de\/unterstuetzen\/nothilfe\/spenden-ukraine\/?gclid=Cj0KCQiA64GRBhCZARIsAHOLriI7iPcaRw2ZOSZG4uDxDj-K9MuCDgjUhXFQcq7lNK643cEjU0Ph8wAaApHWEALw_wcB\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.savethechildren.de\/unterstuetzen\/nothilfe\/spenden-ukraine\/?gclid=Cj0KCQiA64GRBhCZARIsAHOLriI7iPcaRw2ZOSZG4uDxDj-K9MuCDgjUhXFQcq7lNK643cEjU0Ph8wAaApHWEALw_wcB<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"0b62\"><strong>Welthungerhilfe:<\/strong>&nbsp;Emergency aid for East Africa \u2014 since the war could have dramatic consequences for some countries in East Africa and the Middle East, whose grain supply is almost entirely dependent on imports from Russia and Ukraine \u2013https:\/\/www.welthungerhilfe.de\/spenden\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"30cb\"><strong>Reporters Without Borders:<\/strong>&nbsp;Defending the human right to freedom of expression \u2014&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reporter-ohne-grenzen.de\/russland\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/www.reporter-ohne-grenzen.de\/russland<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"9ce8\">Our employees are also helping to provide private emergency accommodation. Join in and register at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.unterkunft-ukraine.de\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Unterkunft Ukraine (unterkunft-ukraine.de)<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"de06\"><strong>We encourage everyone to do something for peace. Whether through time, energy or resources \u2014 get involved and help preserve peace for all of us.<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There is war in Ukraine. A war that seems unpredictable \u2013 and yet was foreseeable. Despite our foresight skills, we closed our eyes. No one knows the deeper intentions of the lying aggressor Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":11953,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_ppma_block_editor_authors":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[307],"class_list":["post-11952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-allgemein"],"acf":[],"authors":[{"term_id":307,"user_id":17,"is_guest":0,"slug":"andrewinzersz","display_name":"Andr\u00e9 Winzer","avatar_url":"http:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/cropped-Andre-w_1920px-96x96.jpg","avatar_alt":"","avatar_decorative":"","author_category":"","first_name":"Andr\u00e9","user_url":"","job_title":"","description":"The formal head of the company, but generally happier to dive headfirst into new challenges. His switch is set to \u201cmain\u201d, his range of action preferably to \u201csimultaneous\u201d. He passionately analyzes &amp; interprets business models. His workshops and talks revolve around the theme of \u201cPreparing for Tomorrow\u201d. He likes to show that business models can easily be transferred to other industries."}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11952","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11952"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11952\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11952"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11952"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11952"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/schaltzeit.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ppma_author?post=11952"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}